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Miguel_Zorro said:
RolStoppable said:

Wow. Making this decision really got to you.

I'm not sure what that means, but it's not easy to pick against my Bills.

You waited until the last minute for something that should have been a no-brainer if you did the maths.

Pick the Bills
1. If Bills win: You finish first with two games ahead of second.
2. If Bills lose: You finish tied for first.

Pick the Patriots
1. If Patriots win: You finish first with one game ahead of second.
2. If Patriots lose: You finish first with one game ahead of second.

The above alone makes a Patriots pick already the better decision, but the benefits are even greater when third place and below are taken into account. A wrong Patriots pick wouldn't have hurt you, because almost everyone picked them, including all of your relevant competitors. But a wrong Bills pick would have costed you.

If you weighed the risk/reward ratios of all possible scenarios, then picking the Patriots was a really easy decision because it guaranteed sole possession of first place while the negatives were far smaller than with a Bills pick. But it took you the whole day and until the last minute to submit that change. I was expecting a change all along.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club