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My guess is within 10 years a modded Elder Scrolls VI for example could push resolution and textures insanely high.

On an actual released vanilla game think were 15-20 years off, but hard to say given compression techniques and emerging technologies.

I just think of what impressed me in 1995 in regards to PC specs (I think our hard drive was ~100 megabytes back then on our first home PC). I know the trends have slowed down, but I still think we tend to underestimate large spans of time (20+ years) in regards to modern technology.