1.3m or so in 13 weeks, or 100k per week above XB1. Say 160k to 60k.
With the Chinese launch and HW spikes from new strong titles, it's very possible.
As for Japan, there are a ton of big titles that will move HW to different degrees. Bloodborne, Dragon Quest Heroes, FF Type-0, Yakuza 0, RE Revelations 2, Disgaea 5...
No troll is too much for me to handle. I rehabilitate trolls, I train people. I am the Troll Whisperer.