NintendoPie said:
Let's not bring up our past predictions. Remember, you're the one who said Wii U would do what, 40 million? Anyhow, MK7 isn't selling 15 million. At most it'll sell 12.5 million. The 3DS is slowing down, and so are it's SW sales. |
While 12.5 million isn't a ludicrously low estimate, it's a very low estimate for its maximum potential sales.
Of all the sales Mario Kart DS would have after week 100, weeks 100-150 accounted for 23%.
For Mario Kart Wii, weeks 100-150 accounted for 51%.
In order for Mario Kart 7 to fail to sell 12.5 million, weeks 100-150 would have to account for at least 60%.
Keep in mind that the Wii's drop after week 100-150 for MKWii was much larger than what you can expect the dropoff for the 3DS to be. If the 3DS were to have the same dropoff, it would sell 7 million over the next 12 months. That's an insane low end.
In other words, 12.5 million isn't completely impossible, it's certainly a potential low-end, but there's really no way you can claim it's the absolute high end.
I'm not even accounting for the digital sales of the title here. I have no knowledge of what they are, but the inclusion of them make 12.5 million an even more ridiculous high-end.