Do You Still Think Wii U is Going to Outsell the Xbox One this Holiday?

[hsrob]

ICStats said:

hsrob said:

If we look at respective sales from a few weeks ago and assume that they are 'baseline' and the fact that historically Nintendo gets a relatively bigger hardware boost during the holidays I say the possibility remains. I say it's up to Nintendo's marketing, if they come to the party then things could get interesting.

Well the Wii U has been at ~40k for two weeks, so that's what I'd call a 'baseline'.  Plus most of us think Wii U is overtracked ~200k.  If that turns out true (I guess we'll find out next month) then the prior weeks baseline was misleading.

Even if 40 is the new baseline for the Wii U it's still not a mile away from the numbers the XB1 has been doing for a while.  I think it may still come down to how well the respective companies can milk their holiday big hitters and how much of a holiday hardware boost they see.  This is an area where Nintendo has been strong, in terms of percentage change, and the actual numbers early in the year aren't that important other than as a general inidication of demand. 

Given the volume of sales that typically occur in the last three months of the year, one or particularly big weeks on either side, around a key software release for examle, could give them the edge.