| TheSource said: It's looking like PS4 will be about 1m below where Wii & PS2 were after two US holidays, 15 months for PS2, 14 months for Wii & PS4. Xbox 1 is selling pretty horribly actually, it's just obscured by the fact that Wii U is selling even worse somehow. X1 is probably going to end up at 2.2-2.8m or something for the year, vs. maybe 1.5-1.7m for Wii U. For 30 weeks we have average weekly sales of: PS4 - 59,000 X1 - 41,000 WIi U - 18,000 50,000 / week in Jan - Oct implies 3.5m in a year - a solid - but not strong year. PS4 should probably get to 4.1m or so based on that (vs. 6m for Wii / PS2 in their first full year). I'm expecting them all to go up again next year, with PS4 peaking in 2016, and then Wii U / X1 declining after 2015 (i.e. PS4 will be up in 2016, Wii U / X1 will be down). It's looking like a fairly mundane generation overall - PS4 will probably get to slightly better figures in the US than PS3, but without a strong Xbox and more expensive game development, it should be harder for games to be made for it as long as they were for PS3 / X360, so I think PS4 gets to 29m or something (vs. 26-27m for PS3) in a shorter timeframe, with X1 getting to 16m or so, and Wii U maybe getting to 10-11m (it's going to be replaced in 2017 - I'd say 2016, but 3DS will be need to be replaced first - Wii U is at least growing - 3DS is shrinking) |
Honestly i said:
1) 4DS coming in 2017.
2) Wii D and XBOX TWO coming in 2018.
3) PS5 coming in 2020.
4) PS4 will break the peak in 2017.
5) XBOX ONE will sell double than XBOX in USA.
6) Wii U will sell more than GameCube in USA.
