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Just think how this gen is going to get going when WiiU is $199, PS4 is $299, and X1 is $249. It's going to be nuts.

FWIW I think U will get price cut the first, if they can get a decent SKU out this fall for $199, they'll REALLY surprise people. At that price it's basically an impulse buy, and an awesome companion system for anyone already with an X1 or a PS4.

Then X1 obviously. The $399 SKU gave them a bump for a brief period, but they're certainly falling back rapidly to the very baseline which caused them to go back on the 'always kinect/kinect IS Xbone' promise' to deliver $399. This depends on the holiday sales, but I don't think the X1 @ $399 will do all that well this fall. Their biggest chance of success sadly is PS4 shortages forcing gamers to settle for X1 (those shoppers that want PS4 as top choice, but are willing to buy in for an X1, not saying that if someone genuinely wants an X1 that they're 'settling').

So maybe $349 or $299 early 2015 for X1 unless Microsoft wants to shock everyone, but the announced $399 and $499 bundles seem to strongly indicate that we're not going to see sub $399 this year for X1.

PS4 will be last to fall, but I can't see them going into holiday 2015 @ $399. If this holiday season sales are so strong that they have more shortages (very possible to even probable honestly given global demand), then $399 makes sense to hold onto this year. If production capacity was higher, there would be a strategic advantage to surprise dropping to $299 long-term. But 99.5% sure that we're going to see solid $399 this year, maybe best case a pack-in game or extra around BF.

Yeap.