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Aura7541 on 05 June 2014
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TheDrill said:
DonFerrari said:
What I get from latest post is that theDrill have changed from X1 will definetely pass Ps4 to X1 will keep a good marketshare not trailing much behind.

Percentages and totals may or may not matter.

At the beggining of the gen MS needs a good marketshare to keep support let's say at total 20M for ps4+x1 9m:11m will give them good support (45:55%).

At the end of the gen a total 200M with ps4 150M and X1 50M even tough the difference is 100M and marketshare is 75:25% X1 would have a big enough base to not be ignored.

But of course in both cases securing exclusives will be exponentialy harder and this will only make the gap grow bigger.
But I would say theDrill accepting it won't be easy for x1 to pass ps4 is a nice start. It just took 500 posts for him to start seeing the light while some members after hundred thousands posts still keep in denial of the truth.

 

At the time I made this prediction the difference between X1 sold and PS4 sold was actually 10 % people are laughing now telling me how I stealthy changed it later to 13 % and now it's almost 17 %, but at the time it was 10 %, and it's not unreasonable to assume that a price cut would increase sales.

I haven't expected the gap to widen that much, and I'm still skeptical about last weeks numbers, but it seems that the gap is still growing wider.

I assume that the PS4 sales will slow down, or stay the same, especailly since they decreased a bit during TitanFall sales, and seem to decrease worldide as well.

Either way, the X1 is still holding strong in US, and in the UK, especailly compared to other territories.

It outsold the Wii U worldwide, and I still think it will claim a good chunk of the marketshare in the US and the UK, it will canibalize out of the PS4 dominance, it won't be like in Europe or Japan.

How much the price cut will do will yet be seen, but X1 is still strong in USA despite being outsold by the PS4.

X1 fell off a cliff after Titanfall even before MS announced the Kinect-less SKU. It's April NPD was worse than any of 360's NPD's, which does not bode well. PS4 continues to rank ahead of the X1 in retailers despite the SKU announcement and at the eve of the SKU's release, it is still substantially behind the PS4.

This is reinforced by the survey mentioned earlier that 79% of the surveryers are still not interested on purchasing the X1 at $399. 43% of the 360 owners haven't bought either a PS4, X1, or Wii U yet and only 42% of those users are interested in getting an X1. Overall, only 18% of all 360 users are interested.

Long story short, X1 is not doing strong at all and will not be strong after the SKU release unless MS drastically changes their gameplan fast.