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Take a look at PS3 numbers in Europe and Japan compared to 360 numbers. This gen Microsoft might take the US, but it'll hardly be by the amount it was last gen, and PS4 numbers are going to be favored by Europe even more than they were last gen with the better specs and cheaper price.

I assume the Wii U won't sell anymore than 20 million, and I think the PS4 is going to have more than a 20 million gap between the Xbox One.