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Soundwave said:
I think Mario Kart 8 will do about 8 million LTD (and MK7 will probably top off around 12-13 mill).

Smash will be less than that.

Nintendo really needs a new franchise to break out for them and drive hardware sales but they're kinda hamstrung as much of their development resources are tied up working on iterative sequels.

There's Miyamoto's mysterious new IP. (Though I have a feeling that will be something quirky like Pikmin)