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snowdog said:
He hasn't picked anything apart at all. He's chosen an average every week. Sales don't work like that. Even if the Wii U sales only match the sales totals last year (and 3m sales over the holiday period are actually poor sales for a console) then that's an installed userbase of 7m, but they should sell more.

You're looking at a console that's $100 cheaper than the PS4, $200 cheaper than the Xbox One and without the need to pay another fee on top for online play and with a key AAA title from Nintendo. And then if that wasn't enough you've got poor launch lineups for the PS4 and Xbox One and both consoles will be supply constrained.

And next year you've got several big titles to keep sales momentum going such as Donkey Kong, Mario Kart 8, SMT x Fire Emblem, X, Bayonetta 2, Yarn Yoshi, SSBU and whatever Megatons Nintendo have up their sleeves during next year's E3.

I'm expecting the Wii U to hit the floor running this holiday shopping season and to continue selling next year now that Nintendo appear to have got their arses in gear with regards to HD development. And with sales of 8m+ you'll see third party publishers jumping on Wii U support next year to keep shareholders happy, even EA will put a stop to their hissy fit.

I think Wii U will have a decent holiday but ur being a bit too optimistic. Its at 3.86m and the week ending Nov 2 Iit sold 80k, thats with new bundles across all three major territories. We have Japan numbers for this week and it dropped from 40k to sub 20k, its possible NA+Europe is up this week but best case scenario it sold 100k week ending Nov 9. The following week likely wont see much of a boost but ill be generous and say it sells 140k week ending Nov 16 putting it at 4.1m, thats still 3.9m in the final 7 weeks of the year and the final week will see a big drop from being post christmas so lets say 300k meaning it would still need 3.6m from the week of 3D World-Christmas or 600k per week. The first 2 weeks of Dec will be much less than the other 4 weeks so lets say 300k each. 3D World week, Black friday week, week before Christmas and week of Christmas would each need to be about 750k.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.