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im a little big more pessimistic.
The games will be very good, amazing!
But it wont sell that much. till march probably 8 mil wii Us would be sold.
If mario kart sell a third of wii Us, it would be a big flop. I expect at least 4 or 5 mil, the half. and optimistically can move 2 mil wii Us
And mario kart will be the best selling game.
Smash bros, i doubt it can reach 5 mil next year.
For me xenoblade was the FFVII of 7th generation, and it sold poorly. i dont expect X to sell more than 2 mil.
bayonetta, yoshi, fire emblem spin off, all below 1 mil, 500k if lucky.
DK maybe reach 3 mil.

Of course this will be the best exclusive lineup, but the console is just not apealing for the nowadays big public, with ps360, ps4/one in the market, and also 3DS going very well feeding the ninteendo nececity of gamers.
Like ps2 owners that lost the amazing exclusives of GC.

Wii U owners will love 2014, Nintendo wont abandon wii U until 2017.
But it wont sell.