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I thought it would do better than it has but I didn't think it would do all that well overall.

I figured the casual market wouldn't be that interested, which has turned out to be the case. I also figured that Nintendo had a window of a few months to really go all-out on building an installed base and establishing momentum before the other next gen consoles arrived. I've been overwhelmed at how much they've failed at that.

Basically, for me, this can be broken down into two periods: when I thought that Mario Kart and/or Smash Bros. would land in 2013, and then when I realized that they would not. After I found out that Nintendo had nothing major for this year, I knew that it would be an uphill battle.

Personally, I thought that the abandonment of the Wii would position Nintendo for a strong first year with the Wii U in terms of software, which would absolutely be needed to fight the Microsoft/Sony hype. Add all of those factors together and it's easy to see why the Wii U is flopping around a bit.