gum said: I don't expect them to sell as much for the exact same reasons you give, I agree with you mostly. But I certainly expect them to sell really well, at least more than 10 millions each and as a result to still be very significant system sellers. |
The only thing we can really go off is attach ratio, when comparing Wii Sports and Wii Fit.
Wii Sports Resort has about a 30% attach ratio. Wii Fit and Wii Fit Plus both have around a 20% attach ratio. If the Wii U goes on to sell 30 Million units lifetime, then I can agree that a Wii U Sport would sell around 9-11 Million (Though this may be skewed because of WS bundling). On the other hand, Wii U Fit would have to be around 6-8 Million.
They will sell some systems, but to expect anything at all like Wii-level sales is wrong. There is more competition now. The Wii U isnt the Wii. Nintendo arent in the position they were in 6 Years ago.