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I always thought lack of compelling software was more an issue.

I think the systems big sellers this fall are Minevraft, Tearaway and Borderlands 2. I think the potential sales all depend on how well sony push those games and when they arrive. I think the week of borderlands 2 will 100k+ if they release a bundle. Minecraft on a portable could make the Vita cool to the youngster but again tehy'll need to market it.