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facebook could collapse but 3 years is too soon imo.

MS certainly has problems in its future as the tech landscape changes. they missed the boat on phones and tablets. they screwed up with windows 8. if the "cloud" really takes off they could see their core business erode away as OSs become less and less relevant. but i think MS knows it's issues and it is working to fix them or create new markets to play in. i think they will survive but will be a very different company from what they are today.