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Well those 15 exclusives look like a good number on paper ( and i agree it woul also look good on paper if sony say so)

But the question i aked myself is what are those 15 exclusives

are these mostly kinect titles ( which wouldnt be a surprise after we see how microsoft handled kinect the last years)
are this some small network games
how many of these games will get deleted or canceled

Should we fear it. I dont think so and i tell you why ( just speculation)

Super Stardust Delta Makers ( Super Stardust Sequel, New IP)
Naughty Dod ( Uncharted 4, The Last of us 2)
Media Molecule ( New IP)
Polyphony Digital ( Gran Turismo 6 maybe after PS3 Release, Gran Turismo 7 for the future)
Guerilla Games ( Killzone 4, New IP)
Santa Monica Studios ( New IP, God of War 4, some smaller network games)
Team ICO ( The Last Guardian)
Sony Japan ( Knack)
Sucker Punch (Infamous Second sun, new IP- yes Sucker Punch also has two teams)
Evolution Studios ( Drive Club)
MLB The Show 14
some Sport Game
some Dance game
some Party game
Final fantasy vs 13
Kingdom Hearts 3 ( rumours and exclsuive HD Collection are an indiacation)
Persona 5
Tales ofXilla 3
Yakuza 6 (if we take PS3 history for an example)
Sanzura Games ( Jak 4)
Ready at dawn ( new IP, could be exclusive because of the goof relationship between sony)
Insomiac Games ( Ratchet and Clank 4)
Summo Entertaiment ( Little Big Planet 3)
One Piece Pirate Warriors 3
Heavenly Sword 2 ( rumours)
Sony Bend game (PS4 or pS vita title)
Agent ( what happened with that game)

Of course those are only speculation and most likely scenarios. But sony can easily say we have 30 exclsuive games in the works for the first year and it will also look good at paper. So in the end there is nothing we should or could fear. The only thing that depend for me is what i see with my own eyes. I dont give a damn what some guy on some conference promise ( Monster Hunter on vita say hello, do you remind the banners where it was listed for vita). Only cold hard facts are matters for me.