Okay, guys, stop being so optimistic. Now, even if it performs very well, we're all going to be disappointed because you expected over 2m. The hype is not unusually strong for this one, it's coming much sooner than usual (so there's saturation), 3DS has been erratic for relative sales of established franchises, the physical sales will be artificially reduced by digital buyers and XY has nowhere near the userbase BW had to sell to. There's plenty of things holding this back.
At best, I'm hoping this can match DP in its opening week.
Pokemon has continually become more and more front loaded as time has gone on:
Pokemon X and Y will do better than Pokemon Diamond and Pearl FW, that's for sure. Going as low as to say that it'll only match that? That's quite odd. Anything below 1.8 Million will be a surprise. Anything about 2.3 Million would be unbelievable, and won't happen.
Carl is a Piplup hater and deserves to be punished eternally.