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Kaizar said:
mrstickball said:
Kaizar said:
mrstickball said:
Any side can claim victory if they want to skew numbers.

The WiiU certainly had a good launch in November/December. However, its abysmal January and February sales are likely far more indicative of where its going to be until major 1st party support shows up.

I'd say that its trending towards failure. It can absolutely change course, but Nintendo has to push software and maybe even a price cut to change its fortunes. If it doesn't act quickly and properly, even fewer people will be able to defend it. If it can't match the PS3/X360 sales by the end of the year (launches aligned), then its going to end up with a very poor performance.

If it does less than PS3/360, people will defend it by saying "..But the 360/PS3 sold 70 million units each with these launches! The WiiU is right there!" without taking the context in that the WiiU is going to be pidgeonholed as gravely inferior to next-gen machines (essentially, the Dreamcast of a 2-horse race).


Well it's getting Pikmin 3 in April or May.

Its also getting Bayonetta 2 in that time.

But it's getting great 3rd Party support with Monster Hunter 3 Definitive version & Lego City Undercover 1 (the 3DS gets the prequel)

 

So lets see how Lego Grand Theft Auto & Monster Hunter 3 definitive does, follow by Pikmin 3 & Bayonetta 2.

People don't like to have a system that collects dust.


How much hardware do you think each game is going to move? We're looking at a >100,000 unit discrepency each month before the holidays. That's a pretty large amount to make up with 4 pieces of software, with few of them likely to hit 1 million units or more.


Wii U hardware sales are actually over 3 million, maybe 3.5 million now.


Yes, and?

As per the charts, the WiiU is starting to lose ground each week and month to what the X360 and PS3 did. Unless the games you listed move lots of people to buy the WiiU, its going to continue to fall behind.

In 2006, the Xbox 360 was selling about 350,000 - 400,000 units per month from January through October. The Wii sold a total of 400,000 units combined in January and February, with February seeing a huge drop to 130,000 units. Even if you believe VGC is off a bit, its still lower than the 360, and trending downward.

If that ~130,000 monthly units persisted, then the X360-WiiU gap is going to grow considerably, just like the PS3-WiiU gap. Publishers are not going to like that one bit.



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.