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curl-6 said:

For the PS4 and Xbox 3 to get a good start, Sony/MS need to kill off the PS3 and 360. Next gen systems can't compete with cheaper 7th gen alternatives in this economy, at least not without suffering considerably as a result.

Will PS4 and Xbox 3 have as slow a start as Wii U? Almost certainly not. But the WILL have many sales cannibalized by their predecessors if the PS3/360 are allowed to limp on for years after their successors release.

You may end up then getting normal people deciding they don't want to go along with it.  The PS3 being killed off means death to the current content on the shelves, because the PS4 won't play the games natively.  If the next XBox next the same, well then that will face similar issues.  What if the masses are content with ipad and tablet gaming as their normal outlet?