Snovalo said:
Farsala said:
irstupid said:
Farsala said:
Your formula is not consistent and probably would be impossible to be consistent. Excitebike is DL only and is different then FE. So the ratings/buyers will be different. An earlier FE would be a better comparison if possible. Anyways my guess is 50k-90k max DL for FE, but who knows you could be completely right or it could be more. |
It doesn't matter if Excitebike is DL only and FE is not.
Since Excitebike is DL only, that means EVERY review is a game downloaded on eshop.
Thus since it has 27k reviews. That means ANY game higher on list has AT LEAST 27k downloads. Fire Emblem is higher on list so it has 27k downloads minimum.
Now no idea how many people review a game. could be anywhere from 1%-100%. I would have thought Nintendo would have released Excitebike #'s at some point so not sure why the OP is using reviews as a reference and not just finding out what known excitebike numbers there are.
I don't feel like guessing as to FE numbers. Not a big fan of predicting, in time we'll find out. I hope its a big number and thus leads to more Fire Emblem games in the future. Felt like too long of a wait since Radiant Dawn came out. No I do not count those remakes.
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You misunderstand my post. 27k is minimum and it is at 14th, real sales could be up there quite a bit. While FE is at 9th. 200k retail and at least 27k is 227k. The difference between 9th and 14th place is not 123k sales.... thus my guess 50k-90k. Though I would refine it to 50k to 70k.
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Yeah except most people do not review games. By your assumption that everyone who ever bought Excitebike, reviewed it, is wrong. At the very most I could entertain from an opposing debated would be 50% of people reviewed it who bought it. That's at least 50k sales at the #14 mark.
5 places ahead, at 13 days, soon to be even higher......
Well, It should be well ahead of 50k sales, probably around 100k.
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yes!!!!!!! You get wat im saying! Thank god lol, I doubt its 50% but lets be generous. If its 50% that reviewed the game then 50k is downloaded. Me personally I think not even 10% but lets just say 20% reviewed it. Thats 115k +extra since FE is ahead of Excite Bike +sales of other Dowloads since this is just US! Alot of people dont believe me and think im crazy for predicting over 100k (even though i think over 150k). Im telling ya this game will hit a mil even before Europe release! Its at 690k WW and in reality Download is over 100k so 800k! Just lookin good for FE awakening!
