| pezus said: So you think it won't keep dropping? Regarding the number of weeks, you only mentioned Feb, March and April so the 13 weeks are for that. Very well, let's add one or two weeks. Sales don't usually increase between January and March Monster Hunter is already out in the most important MH region (Japan). Dragon Quest is a Wii port etc. So it's not much different from the ports/games already out. PS3/360 are dropping because they're old, not because of the market. |
I very much expect the last week of data to be an outlier, and that it'll rest somewhere around 50k for the next few weeks. And sales usually increase for Nintendo systems between January and March... more importantly, IN March (or April). And I said 6 calendar months, which goes to the end of April. Since the data we have is to 19th of January, I counted from there to the end of April.
Monster Hunter in the west is likely to do fairly well - the Wii version is the best-selling Monster Hunter in North America, and the second-best-selling in Europe. Considering that the game has sold to more than a quarter of Japanese Wii U owners, I think it's safe to say that it should provide a decent bump in the west. Not huge, mind you - but a healthy 50k over 2-3 weeks.
Dragon Quest is NOT a Wii port. The game was in development for Wii and Wii U simultaneously. And based on sales of the Wii version in Japan, it looks like a fair few Japanese people were likely to have been waiting for the Wii U version, considering that the previous two games, on PS2 and DS, both sold over 3.5 million copies. I think we could easily see a 200k bump to the Wii U from Japan over a couple of weeks.
And the PS3 and 360 are dropping due to insufficient major titles to drive sales. Same as Wii U. Same as Wii. Same as 3DS right now. Many people are looking at PS3/360 games and going "where's the Wii U version?"... but what they're not actually noticing is how few major PS3/360 titles there are, either. It's not unexpected, of course - the first few months of a new console are always slim pickings, and support for older consoles always draws back as their successors approach.
