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The GameCube sold 4.77 million in Europe

The Wii sold 35+ million in Europe.

Even if they can double the GameCube number to about 10 million in Europe (which would be a huge drop from the Wii, but whatever), that's decent at least.

They will have a price cut by fall if not sooner and Mario Kart for the fall at least, I would pretty much book that.