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I don't think it's going to make it.
Mario's sales are pretty much unattainable by any game (except Wii Sports apparently). Frankly, it's a wonder Mario Kart Wii got this 'close'. It will end at 36-37 in the end.

Also, people saying Super Mario Bros. only got this high because of the bundling are underrating it, those bundles were replaced with Super Mario 2/3 bundles when those games came out, Turtles bundles, bundles woth some soccer game and there already were bundles with ROB and Duck Hunt-only during the same time. I'm sure I'm forgetting more. Anyway, Mario was a phenomenon back then, arguably bigger than CoD is now. Everyone who got this bundle did it because they wanted to play this game, I'd argue it would've done similar numbers if it were never bundled (assuming the NES would've been as successful).