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marc said:
misterd said:
marc said:
 

The human population has "only" increased a few hundred million in the last 10 years, and most of that growth is in poor regions, where Wiis, 360s and PS3s are going to be quite rare.

 


Population grows about 1% every year in the USA. That is a 10% from 10 years ago. Taking absolutely nothing else into account, that means we will sell 10% more consoles even if there are no social changes. An increase of 10% is very significant especially since it represents a change from old to young who are more likely to play games to begin with. Combined with social changes like the increase in gaming popularity in general, this 10 percent can easily account for millions of sales. For reference, there are now about 25mil more people to sell to than 10 years ago just in the US. We arent even talking about china or japan or europe.

 

That's assuming the 10% increase is spread across the board. It's not. Western Europe, Japan, and the non-immigrant US populations - the vast majority of the game buyers - have been stagnant for the last decade. Places like China and India generally lack the sort of widespread wealth needed to support gaming. If the gaming community is increasing in size, I think it has as much to do with the changing demographic. 10 years ago there were few people over the age of 20 who played games. Now that is much more common, and some of my generation continues to play into our 30s.