I think consoles will not survive another gen and will converge with prebuilt PCs, because only Intel, TSMC, Nvidia and whoever buys AMD graphics will be around to compete on high-end parts and the cost of custom designs will be too high.
MS wants this to happen anyway, Windows on everything. But I don't think Windows phones or tablets will have respectable share or influence/
Sony won't have a standalone console. Most immediately Vita will be cancelled with no replacement in early 2014.
Nintendo will, as well as a handheld and their first party games will be limited to it, but they will be essentially alone in the market. I don't think they would ever concede to putting their games on non-Nintendo hardware as long as the power belongs to a small group of businessmen like Yamauchi instead of the general market.
Most third parties will have gone bankrupt or merged. EA and Activision will be PC exclusive developers.
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