I vote GT5 to win since I don't see Halo 4 selling too much over 10m.
I'm pretty confident that Halo 4 will sell worse than Reach. Halo Reach's legs were considerably worse than Halo 3's legs. Halo Reach was selling about identical to Halo 3 for about 60 weeks. After that, Reach's sales came to a crawl in comparison to Halo 3. With Reach having relatively weak legs, there's nothing to suggest that Halo 4 will have legs comparable, let alone higher, than Halo 3's legs. Especially with the Nextbox rumored to release next year. That gives Halo 4 only one year to sell to the primary Xbox console. After that first year, I expect Halo 4's legs to drop in comparison to Reach, and especially Halo 3. I'm not saying it's going to have shit legs. But in comparison to Reach, which had three years to sell on the primary Xbox, I'm expecting Halo 4's legs to be a bit lower.
And GT5 is undertracked.
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