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To me, it will depend on who has the holiday season this year and who has the most supply. Since there won't be any price cuts for the Vita this year (although there should be some bundles) I don't see the Vita selling more than 3.5m worldwide by years end.

Now Nintendo, seeing as how the Wii was supply constrained and possibly the Wii U might be as well, if the Wii U has more supply than what the Vita should sell by years end (3.5m worldwide) then I will say the Wii U will already outsell the Vita by years end easily.

Now if that's not the case, then I'll say by March 2013 after the slow Jan-Feb period.



Generation 8 Predictions so far.....(as of 9/2013)

Console that will sell most: Nintendo Wii U

Who will sell more consoles between Microsoft/SONY: SONY