3DS vs PSV 2012 Edition: 3DS 30m or PSV 5m? (Oct 6th: Vita > 3m!)

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PSV before 5th Jan, 3DS after.

The PSV only needs 2.3m to get there, 3DS needs 10.8. Without a holiday mega-seller I can't see 3DS making it, but with the holidays boost, COD/AC, and bundling, 2.3m seems doable for the Vita by then.