| Renar said: A simple test for the hardcore players. Count how many are in your family. Count how many are NOT hardcore players. Divide the first number into the second one. This % is the number that the Wii can get to. Alright, a bit facious about that. But still, so many non-Wii fanboys believe it is all antedotal evidence of casuals picking up a Wii Sports and having fun with it. Or at best, a fad. IMO, a fad is something that becomes popular, but only does one thing. Therefore, it gets boring. Hula hoops, talking Elmos, etc. were fun for a while, but then the fun wore off. The difference that I see with the Wii, is as long as there are games that come out, as entertaining as WiiSports AND as simple to use, the fun from the Wii will always be fresh for at least the generation (ie about 4 more years). |
Its true, my family never was into games, now they want Wii, Guitar hero for Wii, Mario and Sonic and a few other games like Wii fit and mario party etc, so that's at least 3 or four systems and a bunch of games. Sure most of those games would be derided by the "hardcore" but they are what the market wants.
If my mom can get excited about the Wii (she wanted me to leave mine back home, I told her to get her own, which she is), then it will be huge
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)
