kitler53 said:
edit: i just wanted to give you the link but now i kinda want to comment as well. quite a few people (including many of the usual nintendo fans on this site) posted prior to the 3DS's launch about how the 3DSs reliance on consumer interest in 3D was probably a bad idea. people not being able to view 3D isn't a 3DS thing, we already knew that fact before the 3DS released. we also know that the 3D box office is already in decline. it will be interesting to see what happens when some of the better games come out. however, i personally think it has more to do with consumers rejecting 3D than anything else. nintendo bet the farm on the wrong thing this time (or so it is starting to look like). i'm not so sure the NGP will do great either. i'm more interested in it then the 3DS but i have a feeling it won't be making much of a splash either. call me crazy all you want but i think IOs/Android are going to win the mobile gaming market over the next couple of years. |
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/entertainment/2011-02/24/content_12070571.htm
Your link conflicts with other results. 3D TV sales also increased 90% YOY 2009-2010, and are expected to increase more than 100% 2011 - 2010, with more than 15 million 3D sets sold in the US alone this year. It's hardly a "bursting bubble" like many, yourself included, seem to hope it will be. Of course, this is good news for Sony as well, as 3D permeates the home they are one of the few people offering 3D home content.
As for your prediction about the mobile market, it's sort of true, sort of not. They certainly took a bite out of it, and I expect NGP and 3DS to decrease in sales significantly from their predecessors. I predict 40-50 million lifetime for NGP and 80-100 million lifetime for 3DS. Big declines from the PSP and DS, but still enough to be incredibly successful systems.