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greenmedic88 said:
You could always check the weekly chart sales to see that once off the holiday season spike, sales of the Wii have been well below 450k a week. That's all the empirical data I need. Anything beyond would be conjecture and theory.

http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=All&cons2=PS3&reg2=All&cons3=X360&reg3=All&weeks=70&weekly=1

That substantiates the well established and widely known trend that sales ebb in spring and stay flat in summer.

Sales typically continue to drop in January, so we should be seeing the effect in less than a month, perhaps slightly delayed from normal due to the rainchecks sold in December.

Note in the last three weeks sales went from 1.4 million > 723k > 566k. This week? No reason to believe those numbers will go up. But we'll see in a few days.

 It's true that sales normally are much lower in the spring/summer compared to holiday season.  But last year's sales for the Wii don't show evidence of the normal ebb since it was largely sold out most of the time.  Also, the production level for most of spring/summer 2007 was 250-375k a week, so of course they couldn't have sold 450k a week.