You could always check the weekly chart sales to see that once off the holiday season spike, sales of the Wii have been well below 450k a week. That's all the empirical data I need. Anything beyond would be conjecture and theory.
http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=Wii®1=All&cons2=PS3®2=All&cons3=X360®3=All&weeks=70&weekly=1
That substantiates the well established and widely known trend that sales ebb in spring and stay flat in summer.
Sales typically continue to drop in January, so we should be seeing the effect in less than a month, perhaps slightly delayed from normal due to the rainchecks sold in December.
Note in the last three weeks sales went from 1.4 million > 723k > 566k. This week? No reason to believe those numbers will go up. But we'll see in a few days.
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