Will the Wii end 2008 with >= 50% market share?

[greenmedic88]

Consider this:

19.153 million units from initial release through Dec 30th 2007.
Add 1.8 million x 12 = 21.6 million sold for the year of 2008 for a total of 40.753 million by Dec 30th 2008.

That number is set in stone contingent upon two simple projections.
1) Wii sells out through 2008 (most likely).
2) Nintendo changes its policy on production (1.8 million/month) under the assumption that the growth rate in sales through 2007 is sustainable throughout 2008.

"Ultimately, Wii production numbers -- and the United States' allocation of consoles -- are determined by Nintendo's home office in Kyoto, Japan. Harrison says the company will continue producing 1.8 million Wiis every month until demand subsides."

That's from the mouth of Nintendo's Senior VP.
http://www.wired.com/gaming/hardware/news/2007/11/wii_shortage

Everyone can do their own math and projections as to how many units the PS3 and 360 will sell as well as what percentage of the overall market that will encompass. Unless you lowball both consoles, 50% will not happen.

So for everyone predicting over 21.6 million in sales for 2008, until Nintendo announces an increase in production and follows through (which as it's been established, cannot be flipped like a light switch), you can just STOP already.