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I don't know how many it will sell, especially during the non-holiday period.  Of course, they could be banking on kids being out of school and parents needing something to occupy their time.  Anyways, I think they are gearing up for the holiday release of Kinect and hoping for a heathly boast in sells during that period.  

So my prediction, and I'm not good at this, is 650,000 first month.