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*Most* people are stupid in this lovely world.

Nintendo's only reason to abandon Wii early would be if their internal devs felt they hit a wall in developing for it and they thought a new console could best continue their market momentum.

Logically it makes no sense right now to release before the others as Wii is #1 in sales consistently which proves it has the most consumer demand, regardless of perceived hardware limitations by fanboys.

I firmly think the next gen will launch in 2012. These may be initially presented as early as E3 2011.