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I don't know. We have quite a few new IPs this year that'll probably sell in the 2-3 million range:

Modnation Racers
Heavy Rain
Alan Wake
Ninokuni (if it takes off anything like Inazuma)

And I'd hope the Last Guardian would as well, though it's debatable whether it's a new IP (I personally think it's not).

@mr khan: We haven't seen a new JRPG IP break a million in years, save Inazuma, and that's hardly your typical JRPG. The Last Story may end up deserving of 2+ million sales, but I highly doubt it'll come close.

Though it's being published by Nintendo, so maybe they'll actually try to market the game in the West, ala Monster Hunter 3. Who knows, that may even start a trend for other publishers, which would be nice.