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Brennan said:
or make "pew pew pew" with our fingers...

Seriously, I really doubt Natal will be huge, since it's basically an EyeToy.

You're overestimating the power of marketing and money, or Microsoft former success.

If money and marketing were enough to make a bad product succeed every time, then Zune and Vista wouldn't have flopped hard like they did.

Vista flopped because it was a flawed software package on release.  After SP2 it was great but the damage had already been done.  Windows 7 is getting way more sales and marketing than Vista ever did and it shows.

The Zune is a superior product, but it really doesn't see much marketing at all.  Once Zune as a service starts to grow even more thanks to Xbox Live and its other services, then the marketing and the product itself will begin to sell to its potential.

Natal is quite more advanced and capable than an EyeToy, and the EyeToy itself sold 10 million units, so it looks like Natal will be quite the success if it can sell 10 million units or more in the last year or 2 of this generation.