| Zucas said: Well there are issues with comparing sales to shipments. One we don't know what the sold to shipped ratio is. Second you could have things like channel stuffing which MS did last year. Thirdly have companies do production shipments like Sony. All these things could inhibit figuring out the sold to ship ratio. I mean the only way you'd be able to really tell if the numbers are wrong is if it was way below 50% sold to shipped or above the total shipped. Which really means you have to be very far off on both spectrums. I mean if we do that does this really make us any better than nexgenwars. But for whatever you do at least say there'll be a little adjustments. |
You can only channel stuff so much before people figure it out, Wii is easy because 90-95% of what they ship sells, MS can only stuff so much a million plus tops and by then it'll be public knowledge, ioi can take that information into account, plus he can see how much is on the shelves of the retailers he samples and project how much is on the shelf world wide
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)
