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Here is how its going to go down...
From the day the Slim drops and on, as long as there is adequate advertising, it will outsell the 360 worldwide in every territory.
In all honesty wether you want to admit it or not, there is no real reason why I shouldn't, with the exclusion of the week that Halo ODST drops, but even that may not help the 360...
All in all we will see in time, but the most likely and rational scenario is that the PS3 will steadily outsell the 360 by a fair margin from this point on, at lest until Natal launches, but the success of Natal is yet to really be seen.