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Do you realize guys, that his job isen't to make prediction but to give financial guidance. As in any other sector, if he wasen't good, he would not be here after all these years.

As for predictions, well, he usually go over 50% of them right and I remember Kotaku doing a chart comparing analysts predictions in our industry, and he happens to be the best at this little game (edit : http://kotaku.com/356982/analyzing-the-analysts-episode-one ).

Now, I agree he sometime gets a bit delirious (especially on "live") but hey, just take a look at this website and at our predictions about games/consoles sales : most of the time, we're deadly wrong (now, who predicted success for The conduit ?).