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for 360 and PS3 gamers, it doesn't really matter if the Wii ends up as number 1. Most likely, the 360 and PS3 will combine for more sales than the Wii. As a result you'll still see 3rd parties mostly supporting PS3/360 in the form of multiplatform games b/c the PS360 install base is bigger than the Wii. A lot of people are also saying exclusives are gonna shift to the 360, which I think is gonna be false. Sony may lose exclusivity, but they'll still get the game (like DMC4). The only way MS steals exclusivity from Sony franchises is if MS pays for it, or the XBOX pulls away from the PS3 at a brisk pace. With Sony's momentum in Europe and clear advantage in Japan, this second possibility seems unlikely. Basically, I'm in the camp that thinks 3rd party exclusives are dying and will be pretty much dead by some point in 2008/9.



My Top 5:

Shadow of the Colossus, Metal Gear Solid 3, Shenmue, Skies of Arcadia, Chrono Trigger

My 2 nex-gen systems: PS3 and Wii

Prediction Aug '08: We see the PSP2 released fall '09. Graphically, it's basically the same as the current system. UMD drive ditched and replaced by 4-8gb on board flash memory. Other upgrades: 2nd analog nub, touchscreen, blutooth, motion sensor. Design: Flip-style or slider. Size: Think Iphone. Cost: $199. Will be profitable on day 1.