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Well, there are cases of a console comming from behind but it usually the console that was in the lead was released earlier and had slow sales through out its life; the SNES passed the Genesis at roughly 10 Million units, the Playstation and Saturn battled it out until they Playstation sold about 5 Million units and took off, and the PS2 passed the Dreamcast at 8 Million units.

Currently, the Wii is selling about as quickly as a system can and the PS3 is selling nearly as slowly as a living console can; in order for the PS3 to pass the Wii in 2009 they would have to switch sales sometime in 2008 which seems unlikely.