Betting Time: Week 1 for MH3, WSR, DQIX & HW Boosts in Japan

[samus aran rules]

This is HARD!

Ok I predict:

Dragon Quest IX

First week: 2,4 million
Lifetime: 3,6-4 million
Hardware: No idea, 130 k ?

Monster Hunter 3

First week: 500-600 k
Lifetime: 1,1-1,2 million (at least I hope it will be a millionseller)
Hardware: 90 k

Wii Sport Resort

First week: 250-300 k
Lifetime: 3,5 million
Hardware: 30 k

I don´t know, it´s extremely hard to predict these games except Dragon Quest IX which we all know will be huge (have a HUGE first week and then fizzle out after awhile). I really hope that Wii Sports Resort and escpecially Monster Hunter 3 will become millionsellers but it´s hard to tell with MH 3. Wii Sports Resort should do it with great legs but I do not expect it to have a huge first week and the hardware boost from it I predict to be smaller than most think (I hope I´m wrong though, would be great to see it have a big effect but I see it more as a small steady longtermboost, I think 30 k would be realistic). Hardwareboost from MH 3 should be huge though with bundles and new color + the fact that it will likely draw in a new audience.