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Another thing to consider is that even if it was true that the PS2 started out slowly there is enough differences between the PS2 and PS3 launches which makes this far more problematic. When the PS2 launched its only established competition was the Dreamcast and it had a full year (18 months in Japan) before any other competition arrived; the PS3 launches against an established XBox 360 which appears to be perfoming at a reasonable level (in North America and Europe) and faces competition from the Wii which launched immediately following it.