What would be the overall result of a stalemate between Wii and PS3 in Japan?

[Aiemond]

Procrastinato said:

There's no reason to think that devs will ignore the PS3, merely because the Wii exists. If the raw numbers are there, and there's a vacuum on the PS3, publishers will look to fill that void. If the PS3 does well enough in Japan, there *will* be JRPGs on it, simply because there will be a market for them.

Publishers will not "exclude" the Wii from development considerations, merely because they are making PS3 games, of course. However, the PS3 demographics have proven much more targetable, and with significant numbers -- and that's not a majority, not by a longshot -- Japanese publishers will begin to make PS3 JRPGs because the money is there, plain and simple.

That's not to say they will make PS3 games to the exclusion of Wii games.  That's ridiculous, unless the Wii proves a titanic RPG demographic flop, which I highly doubt (in Japan).  If the Wii RPG demographic outnumbers the PS3 RPG demographic by 2-to-1, there will end up a 2-to-1 ratio in JRPGs, most likely.  Competition is bad, if you're looking to make money.

(Aiemond) Please clarify what is so hard to understand about that statement, if you don't understand it.  They are not "splitting their fanbase".  Do you think every PS3 owner in Japan owns a Wii, and would if the PS3-to-Wii ratio was closer, like 2-to-1?  And do you think that they would prefer Wii JRPGs over PS3 JRPGs, given a choice?  I have a feeling the controller won't do much for JRPGs, unlike Sports, etc. genres..  Even in outrageous situations like "all PS3 owners also have a Wii", what reason is there for you to think that publishers don't compete, and that if publisher A makes 4 Wii JRPGs, and publisher B makes 1 PS3 JRPG and 2 Wii JRPGs, that publisher B won't come out on top, given market saturation conditions, and quality comparisons?

 

Where was the market saturation on the ps2? But not every wii owner has a ps3 (in fact about 4-5 million do not). And, not all ps3 owners have a wii. I mean, not all gamecube owners had a ps2. And not all of those are "casuals") And the controller is not even a real part of the equation, its how many systems are there. Face it, most of the nich publishers will not have any reason to give a shit about HD. You think gust gives a damn if it has hd graphics? Look at ar tenelico or Atelier Iris and come back and tell me this.

Now PS3 is doing better than gamecube so we can expect a bit more support. And, it does have ffxiii. So, it will get more support than gamecube. But to think it will get equal attention, or even half is absurd.

 

Edit: And if they did have both systems how would there be saturation (in your outrageous example)? That makes no sense. If you have both systems are you gonna go out one day and say "well, we have alot of wii rpgs, lets just go get a ps3 one for shits and giggles."