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Data for 2/6/09

Raw Data:

  Total Sales
Item Current 1 Week ago 4 Week ago 12 week ago
Wii 46,427,252 46,018,089 44,704,078 36,351,721
360 28,322,899 28,132,801 27,523,867 22,866,121
PS3 20,289,383 20,151,328 19,702,833 16,871,475

  Per Week Avg
Item 1 Week Avg 4 Week Avg 12 Week Avg
Wii 409,163 430,794 839,628
360 190,098 199,758 454,732
PS3 138,055 146,638 284,826

Conculsions:

  Number of weeks to 50% based on:
Item 1 Week Avg 4 Week Avg 12 Week Avg
Wii 27.0 25.9 21.8

Dates used:

Current 1 Week 4 Week 12 week
2/6/2009 1/30/2009 1/9/2009 11/14/2008

As you can see the weeks to get to 50% have gotten much closer for each of the averages.  I believe that the best bet is the 4 week average becase this will average out the supply jumps and slumps for the Wii.