Nintendo's Wii: Beating the PlayStation 2 a Real Possibility?

[omgwtfbbq]

HappySqurriel said:

NorthStar said:
I doubt it. The race will be much closer this time than last. It seems almost pointless to argue as well. In sports terms debating wether someone will be in the "Hall of Fame" after they played in their first half of the season. for the Wii to pass the PS2 the number of homes with a gaming system will have to double.

I'm not so sure you can say that this generation will be any closer than the last generation ...

The Wii has consistently outsold the PS3 and XBox 360 combined on a weekly basis and is on track to pass their combined worldwide totals by the end of 2007, and (as a result) third party resources are being shifted towards the Wii at a rapid rate. The PS3 and XBox 360 are running out of time to turn things around before it becomes too late to counter the momentium the Wii has built.

For a moment consider what the shift of development actually means for the PS3 and XBox 360. To produce high quality games for the XBox 360 and PS3 they will (typically) require at least 18 months to 24 months to develop which means that the high quality games for the second half of 2008 and first half of 2009 would have been started in the last 6 months; in other words the time where people predict a "Comeback" for the PS3 and XBox 360 actually coresponds to when you should expect a drought in good games for the PS3 and XBox 360.

 

Well the PS2 not only consistently outsold their competitors behind BUT it also had a years head start and all the developer support.

 http://vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=PS2&reg1=All&cons2=XB&reg2=All&cons3=GC&reg3=All

as you can see the GC and Xbox never really looked like threatening Sony's empire. Compare that to now where the Xbox has 10 million units sold, the developer support is much more even, and the market segmentation is much larger now than last gen. There is a lot of evidence that suggests that this generation will be closer than last. But I still don't think second will top 40 million, and I think Wii has a decent chance of beating the PS2.