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I think the Wii will continue to sell large *and* Nintendo "rushes" the Wii2 somewhat (if you consider ~5 years rushing). They can keep the Wii1 kicking as a 3rd (or likely 4th) leg, like they've done with their handhelds successfully (the GBC held on for a while after the GBA, just as the GBA is still kicking alongside the DS). An "early" launch would allow them to be a *bit* more aggressive with the specs (e.g. a $300 system that doesn't have to totally replace the last one right away), and would put the squeeze on MS and Sony which need a *LONG* cycle to have any hope of turning a profit.