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Hus said: fast for how long.... Elmo sold fast for a while, what exacly will keep wii selling that fast for 5 years ? "at the end of 2005 there were already 2m 'HD ready' TV households in Europe and by 2010 there will be more than 50m 'HD ready' TV sets" "By the end of 2005 there were 19m households with HDTV sets in the US (17% of total TV households)" "More than one in two households will own HDTV sets by the end of 2010. Leichtman projected that 55% of U.S. households will have at least one HD-capable set by that point, while Kagan was more bullish, estimating an 82% penetration rate." 360/PS3 prices will come down, games will drive hardware sales... you don't get Halo or Gran Turismo on wii.
If the Gamecube sold like Elmo Final Fantasy and Metal Gear would have been ported to it and it would have (probably) sold as well as the PS2; what will keep it selling well is that there will be a lot of games produced for it because it has sold so well. Also, you missed some points from th leichtman survey: 26% of HDTV owners have more than 1 HDTV set HDTV owners have a mean household income of $89,500 - 42% above average http://www.leichtmanresearch.com/research/hdtv_brochure.pdf